你能解開青蛙之謎嗎? – 德里克·雅培

查看完整課程: http://ed.ted.com/lessons/can-you-solve-the-frog-riddle-derek-abbott

You’re stranded in a rainforest, and you’ve eaten a poisonous mushroom. To save your life, you need an antidote excreted by a certain species of frog. 很遺憾, only the female frog produces the antidote. The male and female look identical, but the male frog has a distinctive croak. Derek Abbott shows how to use conditional probability to make sure you lick the right frog and get out alive.

Lesson by Derek Abbott, animation by Artrake Studio.