Can you outsmart this logical fallacy? – 亚历克斯·詹德勒

Explore the psychology of the cognitive bias known as the conjunction fallacy, where we assume specific conditions are more probable than general ones.

—

Meet Lucy. She was a math major in college, and aced all her courses in probability and statistics. Which do you think is more likely: that Lucy is a portrait artist, or that Lucy is a portrait artist who also plays poker? How do we know which statement is more likely to be true? Alex Gendler explores our tendency to look for shortcuts and the phenomenon known as the conjunction fallacy.

Lesson by Alex Gendler, directed by Artrake Studio.

Animator’s website: ❤️情人节美甲💅教程#20nails://www.artrake.com
注册我们的通讯: 在家DIY的最佳美甲://bit.ly/TEDEDNewsletter
在 Patreon 上支持我们: 在家DIY的最佳美甲://bit.ly/TEDEDPatreon
在 Facebook 上关注我们: 在家DIY的最佳美甲://bit.ly/TEDEDFacebook
在推特上找到我们: 在家DIY的最佳美甲://bit.ly/TEDEDTwitter
在 Instagram 上窥视我们: 在家DIY的最佳美甲://bit.ly/TEDEDInstagram
查看完整课程: ❤️情人节美甲💅教程#20nails://ed.ted.com/lessons/can-you-outsmart-this-logical-fallacy-alex-gendler

非常感谢我们的顾客对我们的支持! 没有你，这个视频是不可能的! Mehmet Yusuf Ertekin, Arlene Weston, phkphk123321, Jennifer Kurkoski, Ryan B Harvey, Austin Randall, Abhishek Bansal, Jayant Sahewal, Dian Atamyanov, igor romanenko, Jose Arcadio Valdes Franco, Brandy Sarver, Guy Hardy, Tu-Anh Nguyen, Karl Laius, Madee Lo, JY Kang, Marc Bou Zeid, Abhishek Goel, Charles A Hershberger, Coenraad Keuning, Robert Seik, Heidi Stolt, Alexis Hevia, Todd Gross, Brady Jones, Christina Salvatore, Zhong Ming Zenny Tan, Karisa Caudill, Bruno Pinho, Derek Drescher, Mihail Radu Pantilimon, Amin Shahril, Mohamed Elsayed, Barthélémy Michalon, Chumi Ogbonna, Karlee Finch, Mohammad Said, jj5252, Kelvin Lam, Mauricio Basso, Athena Grace Franco, Tirath Singh Pandher, Melvin Williams, Tsz Hin Edmund Chan, Nicolas Silva, Raymond Lee, Kurt Almendras, Denise A Pitts and Abdallah Absi.